Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 45.682921 52.468432 59.525110 67.379994 75.848054 84.673093 94.536194
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.791778 44.199824 54.559243 66.679960 80.345106 95.157474 112.311376
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.051820 38.651090 50.853063 65.662614 82.890349 102.062842 124.781263
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 23.619542 35.035031 48.703080 65.812867 86.229047 109.425671 137.399704
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.162809 32.098837 46.923953 66.003653 89.278445 116.190407 149.120348
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.549444 29.886038 45.739874 66.656130 92.665997 123.192145 161.001164
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.775108 27.108526 43.551281 65.811084 94.034478 127.651216 169.784187
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.158079 25.742364 43.045160 66.964476 97.761783 134.867589 181.797322
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.868992 24.694287 42.845545 68.419687 101.801507 142.427924 194.215963
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.061258 22.634538 41.077302 67.661732 102.924139 146.340963 202.185153
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.205903 20.244922 38.642297 65.836997 102.537821 148.284586 207.679826
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.739829 20.118788 39.467665 68.456348 107.934513 157.457102 222.064174
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.050676 19.538264 39.592830 70.116310 112.122012 165.199659 234.823043
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.849894 17.855874 37.918775 69.147664 112.756588 168.414774 241.968421
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.807667 16.292149 36.295846 68.142472 113.257163 171.398476 248.783621
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.111081 15.302891 35.509360 68.291161 115.280415 176.314652 258.015982
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.508435 14.401691 34.792543 68.487096 117.331858 181.249070 267.270007
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.047999 13.734670 34.415347 69.154573 120.014630 187.000024 277.568716
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.443336 12.571650 33.082036 68.289970 120.501676 189.838455 284.140242
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.160409 12.178584 33.083567 69.470050 123.866838 196.478556 295.594946
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.940067 11.910821 33.289236 70.958687 127.671745 203.714093 307.840004
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.523893 10.937464 32.103484 70.183356 128.194081 206.554023 314.410201
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.088835 9.702371 30.296974 68.316483 127.068490 207.135459 318.020112